I just wanted to post this video I found on YouTube that provides picture view of peak oil aspect of the reality of wholesale energy consumption in the modern, industrial world. Plus, the sound track is gripping. Let the images soak in folks. While it sets a more alarmist tone, including some apocalyptic imagery, it there are at least some indications of how all of this will emerge in the peak oil aspect of the energy predicament.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Marion King Hubbert, a figure that fits the role of a "founding father" in the peak oil community. Hubbert, a geo-scientist for Shell Oil was one of the first to articulate a serious theory addressing the inevitable decline of oil production in the industrial world.
His now iconic theory, called "Hubbert's Peak" by many in the community, is usually at the top of the list for introduction to what has expanded into the emergent global energy predicament. The results of his theories, and those that followed his line of research, have been articulated in in a variety of settings. Yet what is clear is that without serious revisions, King Hubbert's theory has remained sound - and proven true in its basic assumptions and the path of analysis remains sound. Not only has the characteristic data exemplified by the classic bell curve proven apt in oil, but it has adapted to address the entire range of fossil fuels and minerals that seem to be operating under the same cycle of rise, followed by a peak in production, followed by an inevitable decline.
I confess, I've only begun to scratch the surface of what Hubbert himself said about peak oil. I've been doing my best to education myself on what he contributed to the conversation about energy use and how he was one of the few who sounded the alarm on our predicament in the industrial world. He deserves some thanks for that, certainly.
Let me close out with this short video clip of Hubbert discussing the peak.
Posted by Shaun at 9:57 PM
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
I'm sure that those of you already immersed in the peak community are well aware of who Mr. Kunstler is and have read his books about the tragedy of suburbia, The Geography of Nowhere: The Rise and Decline of America's Man-Made Landscape, and his classic work on peak oil and the global energy predicament, The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century.
With that him in mind, I wanted to present a video that I watched recently. Now, to be fair it is about an hour and half presentation, but I think it offers lots of information. I'll be honest, I picked it randomly from amidst the videos I've watched recently. As such, I'm sure there are points that Mr. Kunstler covers in more detail in other places. If you aren't familiar with him or his writings, you might check out his website, www.kunstler.com.
Check out video:
Posted by Shaun at 9:09 PM
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
The tough part of the total issue that is the global energy predicament is forming a consensus of what may be coming down the road in the near future. I'll also do my best to give you plenty of selections from those writers and thinkers wrapped up in related issues like fuel scarcity, energy shortages, or disruptions on the energy front around the world and in the U.S. in particular. These are the raw materials for forming intelligible consensus - and hopefully providing another outlet for the growing energy predicament community.
Check out some recent articles:
1. Major reports point to oil supply turmoil and price volatility - http://www.energybulletin.net/stories/2010-08-23/major-reports-point-oil-supply-turmoil-and-price-volatility
2. Remembering the remarkable Matthew R. Simmons - http://www.energybulletin.net/stories/2010-08-19/remembering-remarkable-matthew-r-simmons
3. Peak oil alarm revealed by secret official talks - http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/aug/22/peak-oil-department-energy-climate-change
4. The Best Peak Oil Investments: Why Invest for Peak Oil - http://www.altenergystocks.com/archives/2010/08/nooilcos.html
Posted by Shaun at 9:00 PM
Monday, August 23, 2010
The process can be summarized by the words "paradigm shift." It is fair to say that this is exactly what I'm experiencing even now. My world view must be realigned. I think one of the surest ways to help this process along has been the idea of implications. Once I was presented with a set of implications about the various aspects of how this society maintains operations, I was better able to grasp the enormous scope of the issue.
A Cup Of Coffee
This brings me to one set of implications that I read in a book by John Michael Greer called The Long Descent: A User's Guide to the End of the Industrial Age.
The following is from Chapter 4, Facing The Deindustrial Age, page 115:
Consider a cup of coffee. The energy needed to run the coffee maker is only a tiny portion of the total petroleum-based energy and materials that go into the process. Unless the coffee is organically grown, chemical fertilizers and pesticides derived from oil are used to produce the beans; diesel-driven farm machines harvest them; trucks, ships, and trains powered by one petroleum product or another them around the world from producer to middleman to consumer, stopping at various fossil-fuel-heated or -cooled storage facilities and fossil-fuel-powered factories en route; consumers in the industrial world drive to brightly-lit and comfortably climate-controlled supermarkets on asphalt roads to bring back plastic-lined containers of ground coffee to their homes. To drink coffee by the cup, we use oil by the barrel.
You can see the breakdown and how oil figures into every leg of the journey. It's an astounding realization. One that can be repeated in countless varieties depending on the product of service you choose. Automobiles, electricity grids, food production, shipping, global trade, and so on; all of these areas are impacted. When you stop to consider the limits imposed by geology on the amount of barrels, you get your first glimpse of what I (and many others) call the "emergent global energy predicament."
This is just the first post that I will share with all of you about peak oil, peak natural gas, and pretty much "peak everything" that combine to produce a dramatic change in how the world works in the near future. I plan to include many linked articles, reviews of books, video clips, and more to help bring consolidate the volume of sources that are out there. Stay tuned. If you have something to add, I welcome your comments. This will help to build up the community and get the word out.
Posted by Shaun at 10:49 AM