Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Peak Oil Round Up - Some New Articles Of Note

I missed last week's post schedule so I thought I would drop something down now. I've been reading more about the different "peaks" we are facing in this country and in the world abroad. I wanted to share a few of them with you.

1.  Back To School Month: Peak Oil 101

2. The Next Oil Price Shock - An Update


    I'm also including a short video of energy analyst Rob Rapier discussing peak oil:





    I'll be back this Thursday with another message about the predicament we're all in together.


    Thursday, September 9, 2010

    The Personal Element Of Peak Energy Consciousness

    As I've continued to read various authors, listen to podcasts, and view YouTube clips on peal oil - and the other "peaks" there has been this deep, resonating response within myself. As the first post here mentioned, I've had to  undergo a paradigm shift. It has been a radical rethinking of basic assumptions and an evaluation of my future hopes in the light of a series of stunning revelations about energy and finite limits to growth. I think I need to stop the merry-go-round a few seconds and assess my feelings and examine my own stake in human element. After all, this is important primarily because of its far-reaching implications for humanity and our existence on earth. (This does not mean ignoring the real ecological impacts on the environment or how the animal kingdom will be affected.)

    The Matrix Is Real

    I think I am as much a product of my socio-economic context as anyone. I have had the good fortune to be born in the United States of America to what was a middle class family in a small farming town in the Midwest. It is because I have always valued self-education through voracious reading and study, that I am not following the paths of many people in my part of the country. I chose to be a writer and a thinker. I was also lucky enough to have a group of friends that shared these same characteristics, by and large. We were all contemplating, debating, pouring over all manner of esoteric texts and studying a whole host of subjects including religion, philosophy, and history.

    This does not mean I wasn't influenced by certain strands of popular culture. Much of my childhood was steeped in science fiction, epic fantasy, superheroes, and comic books. I've always had a taste for the fantastical, the speculative, and questions like "What if?" I've devoured movies and books with equal fervor - and I still do, though I have to say that movies aren't what they used to be.

    All of this took on a new meaning when one of my friend introduced me to what I took as yet another conspiracy theory, another bogeyman lurking in the dark corners of what we all realized was very unhealthy culture. The movie The Matrix is a watershed film that articulated that undercurrent that the world we've created is not real, that there is something else hidden beneath the surface. I think it is an apt analogy for the wake up I've had about the global energy crisis, predominantly in the guise of peak oil.

    What Do I Add To The Mix

    I think that there is always room for another perspective on peak energy. I'm trying to provide a blend of my own personal experiences of this emerging dilemma. That's what I can do if nothing else. I know that there are many strong voices, many experts expounding on the subject with far more competence and available knowledge that myself. I wouldn't expect to run with those big dogs at this point. I'm still learning a great deal from all of them. I expect I will for a long time yet.

    When I mention the personal element, I'm looking at thing rather selfishly. My thoughts are not immediately on the millions in country that are facing shortages of food and energy right now, or those who are reeling from the effects of global economic meltdown. I've remained fairly insulated in my little life here in the U.S. Yet, I have the sense to know that this will not remain a refuge forever. The questions I have about this emerging crisis have more to do with protecting myself and my family. It is a good excuse to get serious about living life in more realistic and sustainable ways. That is enough for any man most days.

    Thursday, September 2, 2010

    So Why Has Oil Been So Valuable To Our Industrial Society?


    For someone who is new to the peak oil/energy predicament community it makes sense for me to establish some basic points that relate to the whole situation. Now, of course, I'm not offering anything particularly novel to the discussion. In fact, I'm retreading old ground. I think this should be done once in a while in order to help those like me ease into the paradigm shift that accompanies learning about energy limits.

    Now let me open this up by asking the question that I posed in this post's title: Why has oil been so valuable to our industrial society? 

    If you want to understand oil's value you must see it as an energy commodity. Okay, so maybe you don't know what a commodity is. Let's define it first using the following definition from Investopedia:

    1. A basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other commodities of the same type. Commodities are most often used as inputs in the production of other goods or services. The quality of a given commodity may differ slightly, but it is essentially uniform across producers. When they are traded on an exchange, commodities must also meet specified minimum standards, also known as a basis grade. 

    2. Any good exchanged during commerce, which includes goods traded on a commodity exchange. 
     Beyond its place as a commodity, there are at least four solid reasons for its value.

    1. You can transport it with relative ease. (Liquid fuels are much more economic to move than solid fuels like coal, or gases, such as methane.)

    2. Oil is more energy-dense. Basically, this means that oil packs a lot of energy into relatively smaller quantities when compared to other types of fuel. (Consider that a gallon of gasoline contains the equivalent of 40 kilowatt-hours of power.)

    3. It can be used in a wide variety of ways, including as a fuel for transportation, heating, as well as the production of the chemicals for agriculture, and so on.

    4.Oil can be refined into several types of fuel, including gasoline, kerosene, and diesel, all of which can be used in a variety of applications.

    When you can couple these positive attributes with the fact that oil has been very easily accessible, which has provided a high degree of EROEI (energy return on energy invested), then you may begin to construct a picture of oil's impact on human civilizations, particularly in the development of the modern industrial nations.

    Cheap oil has been the cornerstone of all of our revolutions in industry, transportation, communications, public health, agriculture, and so many other achievements of our era. My advice is that you take a look for yourself and learn as much as you can about oil and its impact. That's been a great starting point for me.

    Sunday, August 29, 2010

    Sharing An Interesting Peak Oil Video

    I just wanted to post this video I found on YouTube that provides picture view of peak oil aspect of the reality of wholesale energy consumption in the modern, industrial world. Plus, the sound track is gripping. Let the images soak in folks. While it sets a more alarmist tone, including some apocalyptic imagery, it there are at least some indications of how all of this will emerge in the peak oil aspect of the energy predicament.

    Thursday, August 26, 2010

    This Guy King Hubbert: Acknowledging His Place In Peak Oil History

    When I was thinking about what to write here tonight, I kept coming back to one name: Hubbert. More specifically, I want to talk now about Marion King Hubbert, a figure that fits the role of a "founding father" in the peak oil community. Hubbert, a geo-scientist for Shell Oil was one of the first to articulate a serious theory addressing the inevitable decline of oil production in the industrial world.

    His now iconic theory, called "Hubbert's Peak" by many in the community, is usually at the top of the list for introduction to what has expanded into the emergent global energy predicament. The results of his theories, and those that followed his line of research, have been articulated in in a variety of settings. Yet what is clear is that without serious revisions, King Hubbert's theory has remained sound - and proven true in its basic assumptions and the path of analysis remains sound. Not only has the characteristic data exemplified by the classic bell curve proven apt in oil, but it has adapted to address the entire range of fossil fuels and minerals that seem to be operating under the same cycle of rise, followed by a peak in production, followed by an inevitable decline.

    I confess, I've only begun to scratch the surface of what Hubbert himself said about peak oil. I've been doing my best to education myself on what he contributed to the conversation about energy use and how he was one of the few who sounded the alarm on our predicament in the industrial world. He deserves some thanks for that, certainly. 

    Let me close out with this short video clip of Hubbert discussing the peak.

    Wednesday, August 25, 2010

    Presenting James Howard Kunstler

    As I've already stated in a previous post, my introduction to the world of peak oil happened only a short time ago. The same is true of this overall picture of the world's energy predicament. I'm finding out that there is so much more to learn. More pieces must be found in order to make this picture complete. Some of them are shaping right now while others are less clear. One of the people who has helped usher me into this new way of seeing the world I live in is the author and activist James Howard Kunstler.

    I'm sure that those of you already immersed in the peak community are well aware of who Mr. Kunstler is and have read his books about the tragedy of suburbia, The Geography of Nowhere: The Rise and Decline of America's Man-Made Landscape, and his classic work on peak oil and the global energy predicament, The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century.

    With that him in mind, I wanted to present a video that I watched recently. Now, to be fair it is about an hour and half presentation, but I think it offers lots of information. I'll be honest, I picked it randomly from amidst the videos I've watched recently. As such, I'm sure there are points that Mr. Kunstler covers in more detail in other places. If you aren't familiar with him or his writings, you might check out his website, www.kunstler.com.

    Check out video:

    Tuesday, August 24, 2010

    A Peak Oil Round Up - Some Recent Articles Hot Off The Wire

    One of factors that makes this digest relevant for me (and I hope all of you) is that is serves as another platform to present the latest word from different sectors of the peak oil community. I will be doing article round ups from time to time to give you a taste of what's going down  right now.

    The tough part of the total issue that is the global energy predicament is forming a consensus of what may be coming down the road in the near future. I'll also do my best to give you plenty of selections from those writers and thinkers wrapped up in related issues like fuel scarcity, energy shortages, or disruptions on the energy front around the world and in the U.S. in particular. These are the raw materials for forming intelligible consensus - and hopefully providing another outlet for the growing energy predicament community.

    Check out some recent articles:

    1. Major reports point to oil supply turmoil and price volatilityhttp://www.energybulletin.net/stories/2010-08-23/major-reports-point-oil-supply-turmoil-and-price-volatility

    2. Remembering the remarkable Matthew R. Simmons - http://www.energybulletin.net/stories/2010-08-19/remembering-remarkable-matthew-r-simmons

    3. Peak oil alarm revealed by secret official talkshttp://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/aug/22/peak-oil-department-energy-climate-change

    4. The Best Peak Oil Investments: Why Invest for Peak Oil http://www.altenergystocks.com/archives/2010/08/nooilcos.html